Key Day !!

Investor’s first readDaily edge before the open

DJIA: 17,763
S&P 500: 2,066
Nasdaq  Comp.:4,886
Russell 2000:    1,255c
Friday, April 3, 2015   8:58 a.m.

CONCLUSION:
How will the Street take news this morning that the new hires jobs report for March came in well below projections ?  Is the economy beginning to weaken ? If so will they sell ?

But, wait a minute.  Doesn’t this increase the odds that the Fed won’t raise interest rates anytime soon ?  The Street has repeatedly considered that bullish.

The market  continues to be locked in its Feb. – Mar.  consolidation range (DJIA 17,600 – 18,200; S&P 500: 2,040 – 2,115).  The Nasdaq Comp. is struggling, but  the small company Russell 2000 remains buoyant confirming my conclusion that the Street is opting for greater risk.  New Highs in the Russell are possible in coming days.

Today’s support is DJIA 17,650. Breaking that 17,600 comes into play. Bulls need to step in NOW to prevent breakdown. S&P 500 must hold above 2,040.
It would be very bullish if the market rebounds before 11:00 and closes at its high for the day.

 KEY FACTORS: 

Mortgage apps and refi’s were up sharply in the 3/27 week, which bodes well for this summer’s real estate season.

-ADP Employment tanked in March with 189,000 new hires vs projected 240,000. Private sector employment (new hires) reported today plunged to 129,000 in March from 210,000 in February (revised).  

-Other economic indicators reported Wednesday were mixed.
-The Fed and it’s first bump up in interest rates.

Concern that the U.S. economy is beginning to slump.

COMMENTS:
All these seven-figure guys on Wall Street don’t know what to do. Earnings suck, international economies are on the verge of a serious recession, the Street welcomes bad economic news here, so the Fed won’t raise interest rates any time soon, but where else can one put their money ?  It all smacks of great opportunity, but also great risk,  It is what it is, so we must deal with it.  IMHO, there is an enormous amount of outright manipulation of stock prices and earnings period is where a lot of it takes place. Q1 earnings will soon be reported.  

Note: Source of economic data
For a weekly economic calendar and good recap of  indicators, go to mam.econoday.com.

George Brooks
Investor’s first read
A Game-On Analysis, LLC publication

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Note: I discontinued my daily – before – open publishing of Investor’s first read on November 5, 2014, after 6 years (1.600 posts).  Future publishing will be on a less frequent basis and not always before the market opens. In the interim, I will publish as I see necessary as I craft a new format.

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Investor’s first read, is a Game-On Analysis, LLC publication for which George Brooks is sole owner, manager and writer.  Neither Game-On Analysis, LLC, nor George  Brooks  is  registered as an investment advisor.  Ideas expressed herein are the opinions of the writer, are for informational purposes, and are not to serve as the sole basis for any investment decision. References to specific securities should not be construed  as particularized or as investment advice as recommendations that you or any investors purchase or sell these securities on their own account. Readers are expected to assume full responsibility for conducting their own research pursuant to investment decisions in keeping with their tolerance for risk.

 

 

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